Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.208234 0.241799 0.279086 0.323590 0.375285 0.433468 0.503966
2025-05-04 0.157877 0.203197 0.258948 0.332636 0.427597 0.546039 0.705305
2025-05-11 0.128928 0.178081 0.242934 0.334889 0.462193 0.632649 0.879004
2025-05-18 0.107659 0.157491 0.227093 0.331597 0.484983 0.702617 1.036297
2025-05-25 0.090051 0.138416 0.209368 0.321300 0.494103 0.751900 1.167928
2025-06-01 0.080873 0.129955 0.205205 0.329314 0.529836 0.842813 1.371779
2025-06-08 0.071933 0.120352 0.197622 0.330330 0.553822 0.917327 1.558180
2025-06-15 0.065480 0.113729 0.193639 0.336135 0.585519 1.006961 1.779699
2025-06-22 0.057774 0.103885 0.182931 0.328889 0.593632 1.057240 1.938940
2025-06-29 0.051919 0.096460 0.175336 0.325859 0.608265 1.119729 2.126699
2025-07-06 0.047583 0.091194 0.170846 0.327690 0.631574 1.199869 2.356268
2025-07-13 0.045571 0.089989 0.173562 0.343169 0.682133 1.335935 2.709401
2025-07-20 0.043134 0.087762 0.174264 0.355208 0.728243 1.470420 3.080217
2025-07-27 0.040650 0.085152 0.173941 0.365227 0.771713 1.605279 3.470669
2025-08-03 0.037658 0.081106 0.170224 0.367702 0.799683 1.711535 3.814084
2025-08-10 0.034429 0.076152 0.164028 0.364084 0.814041 1.790589 4.107979
2025-08-17 0.030905 0.070121 0.154839 0.352766 0.809961 1.829024 4.314998
2025-08-24 0.029374 0.068345 0.154668 0.361574 0.852275 1.975236 4.790569
2025-08-31 0.027401 0.065317 0.151347 0.362692 0.876803 2.083601 5.189911
2025-09-07 0.025977 0.063398 0.150326 0.369071 0.914540 2.227110 5.693876
2025-09-14 0.023751 0.059287 0.143713 0.361107 0.916227 2.284154 5.987518
2025-09-21 0.022020 0.056195 0.139190 0.357777 0.929077 2.370083 6.367058
2025-09-28 0.020746 0.054104 0.136884 0.359789 0.955858 2.494213 6.864307